Thursday, April 4, 2013

2-critical thinking,ethics, and civic responsibility

The problem within computer science is how long until Moore's Law will halt being true. Moore's Law is that every 18 months the number of  transistors on semiconductor will double. I believe we are about to hit that point, in an article on Wikipedia the Semiconductors Industry Associations of the US, Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan states that we could see this slow down by the end of 2013 as seen with this graphic from Wikipedia showing the growth of semiconductors.


 This shows the growth up until 2011 and the law holds steady but in an interview with Michio Kaku, he is asked about quantum computers and their abilities and he states, "Moore's Law may begin to expire in the next ten years".  What could this mean for computers if it stops being true? This means that the computer you have at home will become the same as all other computers. If the growth stops then why would someone buy a new computer 6 months from now if the new computer has the same processing power as the one you have at home. So if the law stops is that it for computers? No as seen in other videos throughout Ted Talks we see numerous other ways we can take technology such as molecular computers and atomic computers and my favorite quantum computers.
If the law stands it will be quite amazing to see how much they can put on these powerful semiconductors. And what would be the purpose of such devices? There is no way to solve this problem other than engineers and computer scientists to keep working on what they already are. Because if we do hit the end and make other types of computers without the need for semiconductors than the law is done, right? For some yes, some no.  Some say he was talking about the power of the computer the other say he was talking about the power of the semiconductor. As this subject has moved from is he right to how can we make it seem like he is right by manipulating which parts he was talking about.
Either way we will just have to wait and see.

references: Michio Kaku; How to Program a Quantum Computer
                 Semiconductors Industry Associations of the US, Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan
                  Ted Talks

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